Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 725.465083 818.009626 921.354624 1045.977493 1193.063425 1362.221538 1573.052353
2025-03-02 594.179041 716.286388 865.136637 1062.605878 1321.782931 1656.282941 2130.686180
2025-03-09 516.627044 648.158661 817.262821 1055.459660 1390.484388 1858.045782 2584.991124
2025-03-16 455.781424 589.598091 768.893251 1033.755800 1427.885520 2015.244053 3004.502480
2025-03-23 419.711747 557.829150 749.833653 1046.025218 1510.502525 2247.474250 3590.771796
2025-03-30 378.831622 514.043755 707.437785 1016.095478 1520.874041 2363.999917 4006.869739
2025-04-06 345.759512 477.718015 671.230679 989.561346 1530.287178 2477.245657 4442.867972
2025-04-13 316.488944 444.086246 635.268724 958.162409 1525.339055 2561.858893 4842.676142
2025-04-20 303.924763 434.252185 634.538481 983.616933 1622.211934 2852.319219 5767.262074
2025-04-27 288.578465 418.664364 622.920373 988.655056 1681.822897 3080.989444 6629.107617
2025-05-04 279.018405 411.263816 623.625415 1014.880542 1785.120070 3421.511411 7900.758107
2025-05-11 265.559874 396.471275 610.558838 1014.343546 1834.783255 3655.189906 8982.199012
2025-05-18 256.288663 388.778798 610.450390 1041.122695 1952.455035 4092.918646 10948.624937
2025-05-25 245.699800 378.215320 604.655876 1056.966288 2051.734000 4520.969840 13183.865660
2025-06-01 232.908387 362.796518 588.585718 1049.988233 2097.897515 4824.225930 15187.660353
2025-06-08 219.337194 345.035058 566.688249 1028.407603 2106.137031 5026.624674 16952.968230
2025-06-15 211.435116 336.631222 561.313478 1040.599222 2198.425269 5503.647689 20342.505264
2025-06-22 198.999605 319.308371 537.697967 1010.866970 2180.216782 5637.528320 22217.453695
2025-06-29 188.002732 303.915643 516.640370 984.507233 2166.640469 5784.880695 24336.358875
2025-07-06 177.317901 288.482175 494.425560 953.312825 2135.422557 5866.269374 26193.487895
2025-07-13 173.676795 285.774239 496.954671 978.601671 2263.558871 6554.459603 32804.862745
2025-07-20 168.110300 279.116726 491.059629 983.606857 2335.742905 7068.339286 39091.813477
2025-07-27 164.984162 276.855939 493.869887 1009.660136 2475.496881 7913.332961 49842.818428